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Insights

Friday Market Recap

Weekly Assessment of Global Real Estate Trends

Welltower (WELL)

North America In the U.S.: As expected, the Fed cut rates 25 bps. Fed Chair Powell on Wednesday characterized the central bank’s 25 bps rate cut as a “mid-cycle adjustment” and not “the beginning of a lengthy cutting cycle.In earnings, 384 companies in the S&P 500 Index have reported, 76.3% beat, 0.5% were in-line, and 23.2% missed estimates. REIT

Chesapeake Lodging Trust (CHSP)

North America In the U.S.: Chatter calling for a more aggressive 50bps rate cut by the Fed has simmered down. Reuters said its latest poll showed that over 95% of 111 economists surveyed now expect a 25 bps rate cut from the Fed later this month. The first reading of Q2 GDP came in at 2.1% q/q versus Q1

Prologis, Inc. (PLD)

North America In the U.S.: The WSJ discussed how the market has gone from debating whether Fed will lower rates in July to if it would be a 25bps or 50bps change. Expectations for the more aggressive 50bps move surged following the dovish commentary from NY Fed President John Williams. REIT Focus: Prologis, Inc. (PLD) announced that it would

Featured Global Market Reports

Browse finance headlines from around the globe we’re keeping an eye on

The Benefits of Global Investing

With 2013 behind us, it is worth noting that Europe was the top performing global region within the FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Developed Index. Europe’s total return greatly exceeded those of Asia and North America, for dollar denominated investors, although Asia was the best performing region on a local currency basis. Europe’s strong performance comes on the heels of a good

Mexico: The Rise of Fibra

We conducted three days of due diligence on the nascent REIT industry in Mexico (two days in Mexico City and one in Monterrey), our itinerary filled with back-to-back meeting with management teams of five of the seven exiting Mexican REITs, called Fideicomisos de Infrastructura y Bienes Raices or Fibras for short. Our discoveries: Mexico is experiencing a manufacturing renaissance. 

A Greek Tragedy…or is it a Comedy?

A Greek Tragedy… or is it a Comedy? Clearly, it is a little of both. As the new Greek government fails to form a coalition, the entire “progress” of the Troika’s (IMF/ECB/EC – and Germany) negotiations reverts back to uncertainty and talk of a Greek exit from the Euro. It is comical that Greece can hold the entire Eurozone

UK CEO Panel Talks London Market

Our European analyst recently attended the BAML UK Real Estate conference in London.  One of the panel discussions involved five CEOs of prominent UK REITs talking about the state of the London real estate market.  The panelists were John Burns (DerwentLondon), Chris Grigg (BritishLand), David Atkins (Hammerson), David Fischel (Capital Shopping Centers), and now retired Francis Salway (Land Securities).

Domestic & Capital Market Insights

What’s happening at home, outlooks & reviews

I see REIT Passive Ownership Rising… Is Trouble on the Way?

The efficient-market hypothesis (EMH) is a long-debated economic theory first introduced in nascent terms in the early 1900s, and advanced starting in the 1950s, which essentially suggests “security prices fully reflect all available information.” Although variations exist, the natural conclusion is that stock price movements are unpredictable; therefore “you cannot beat the market” and active portfolio management is a

4Q18 Capital Market Outlook

Since August 27, when Michael Bauer and Thomas Mertens published their FRBSF Economic Letter titled Information in the Yield Curve about Future Recessions, the ten-year-three-month spread has gone from “nearly 1 percentage point away from an inversion” to low of 15 bps on January 3, 2019. Put another way, investors were willing to lend money for ten years for

4Q18 Capital Market Review

The US economy is still expanding albeit at a slower rate. The third estimate of Third Quarter GDP growth came in at 3.4%, compared to 2.8% for Third Quarter 2017, and the latest estimate for Fourth Quarter GDP growth from the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta is 2.8%. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, changes in total nonfarm

And The Winner is… Amazon! & REITs!

Image used with permission of Philadelphia Inquirer Copyright© 2018. All rights reserved. Amazon, Inc. sent hundreds of municipalities into frenzy in September 2017 when the e-commerce juggernaut announced plans to establish a second corporate headquarters in North America, uninspiringly dubbed HQ2. Nearly 250 cities responded to Amazon’s Request for Proposal (RFP), with hopes of adding 50,000 full-time, highly-paid Amazons