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Insights

Friday Market Recap

Weekly Assessment of Global Real Estate Trends

Authentic Brands Group (ABG)

North America In the U.S.: February flash manufacturing PMI dipped to 50.8 versus January’s 51.9 reading. Fears over the coronavirus in China seemed to have stifled demand.In earnings, 439 companies in the S&P 500 Index have reported, 74.8% beat, 0.9% were in-line, and 24.3% missed estimates. REIT Focus: A consortium consisting of Authentic Brands Group (ABG), Simon Property Group

Public Storage (PSA)

North America In the U.S.: Reuters highlighted comments from NY Fed President Williams stating that the US economy is in a “very, very good place.” Mr. Williams argued that last year’s rate cuts have put the economy on a path to continue its expansion. In earnings, 389 companies in the S&P 500 Index have reported, 75.8% beat, 1.0% were

Cousins Properties Incorporated (CUZ)

North America In the U.S.: January nonfarm payrolls of 225K beat consensus for 161.5K gain. The unemployment rate ticked up 0.1pp to 3.6%. The strong reading is not expected to have much of a Fed decision impact. As expected, the Senate voted along party lines to acquit President Trump and end the impeachment trial. The days following the verdict

Featured Global Market Reports

Browse finance headlines from around the globe we’re keeping an eye on

The Benefits of Global Investing

With 2013 behind us, it is worth noting that Europe was the top performing global region within the FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Developed Index. Europe’s total return greatly exceeded those of Asia and North America, for dollar denominated investors, although Asia was the best performing region on a local currency basis. Europe’s strong performance comes on the heels of a good

Mexico: The Rise of Fibra

We conducted three days of due diligence on the nascent REIT industry in Mexico (two days in Mexico City and one in Monterrey), our itinerary filled with back-to-back meeting with management teams of five of the seven exiting Mexican REITs, called Fideicomisos de Infrastructura y Bienes Raices or Fibras for short. Our discoveries: Mexico is experiencing a manufacturing renaissance. 

A Greek Tragedy…or is it a Comedy?

A Greek Tragedy… or is it a Comedy? Clearly, it is a little of both. As the new Greek government fails to form a coalition, the entire “progress” of the Troika’s (IMF/ECB/EC – and Germany) negotiations reverts back to uncertainty and talk of a Greek exit from the Euro. It is comical that Greece can hold the entire Eurozone

UK CEO Panel Talks London Market

Our European analyst recently attended the BAML UK Real Estate conference in London.  One of the panel discussions involved five CEOs of prominent UK REITs talking about the state of the London real estate market.  The panelists were John Burns (DerwentLondon), Chris Grigg (BritishLand), David Atkins (Hammerson), David Fischel (Capital Shopping Centers), and now retired Francis Salway (Land Securities).

Domestic & Capital Market Insights

What’s happening at home, outlooks & reviews

A Fresh Look at REITs

Commercial real estate has been broadly embraced by institutional, sovereign global, and individual investors. At the same time, equity REITs have matured and grown well beyond the “small-cap” generalization contained in many academic studies over the last two decades. With the Global Financial Crisis (“GFC”) a decade past and negative interest rates prevalent in many global markets, a fresh

I see REIT Passive Ownership Rising… Is Trouble on the Way?

The efficient-market hypothesis (EMH) is a long-debated economic theory first introduced in nascent terms in the early 1900s, and advanced starting in the 1950s, which essentially suggests “security prices fully reflect all available information.” Although variations exist, the natural conclusion is that stock price movements are unpredictable; therefore “you cannot beat the market” and active portfolio management is a

4Q18 Capital Market Outlook

Since August 27, when Michael Bauer and Thomas Mertens published their FRBSF Economic Letter titled Information in the Yield Curve about Future Recessions, the ten-year-three-month spread has gone from “nearly 1 percentage point away from an inversion” to low of 15 bps on January 3, 2019. Put another way, investors were willing to lend money for ten years for

4Q18 Capital Market Review

The US economy is still expanding albeit at a slower rate. The third estimate of Third Quarter GDP growth came in at 3.4%, compared to 2.8% for Third Quarter 2017, and the latest estimate for Fourth Quarter GDP growth from the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta is 2.8%. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, changes in total nonfarm