
1Q17 Capital Market Outlook
There are a number of mitigating factors keeping a lid on the 10-Year Treasury Note yield: “monetary offset,” global yield differentials and the possibility that Trumpflation may disappoint in actuality. Thus far, the legislative accomplishments of President Trump and a unified Congress have been underwhelming. After demonizing Obamacare for the past seven years, Speaker Ryan and the Republican House of Representatives couldn’t even muster enough partisan votes to bring the hastily prepared American Health Care Act up for vote, blocked by hard-core conservatives on their own side of the aisle. Aside from ideology, there was apparently a procedural rationale for trying to enact AHCA before taking on tax reform. AHCA would have reduced the deficit for the current fiscal year